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  • 技術分析在于少而精,多則惑
    貓否股票網 > 貓否炒股心得 > 技術分析在于少而精,多則惑
      原創文章如需轉載,請注明來自貓否股票網,感謝!

      雖然是炒股心得,其實我很早就沒有心得可談了,能不斷獲得心得的時期是炒股的初級階段,越往后你就越知道,股市就這么回事,哪有這么多心得可言。

      但是我可以站在今天這個角度為大家梳理我從前的心得,哪些是炒股的真理,哪些只是一時的錯覺。

      今天給大家談的是交易系統大范疇下的技術追尋。對于技術的掌握和運用,我是這樣的觀點:總是學習新技術,想掌握各種分析方法的交易者,其實是一種不成熟的表現,他們對市場的理解并不深刻,但我并不認為多學習是錯的,這是一名交易者從不成熟到成熟所必經的道路。與其對應的成熟應該是什么樣的呢?我認為一個成熟標志是他開始將以前學會的林林總總的分析方法不斷進行取舍和丟棄,到最后只剩少數幾個讓他游刃有余的方法,他個人特別喜歡,特別信賴的方法。

      這是一個少而得、多則惑的道理。

      我們假設,一個人懂得30種分析理論,如果出錯了他會很茫然。茫然什么呢?你或許會以為,究竟是哪一個理論出錯了?不對,事實上每個理論都貢獻了一部分錯誤。因為大家在追求更多分析技術的同時忽略了一件重要的事實,所有技術都是有缺陷的,技術的疊加不僅是優勢的疊加,也是缺陷的疊加

      關于貓否本人的交易系統,技術方面我只看三點:K線、成交量、形態。如果你讀過較多的股票書籍或者你身邊有能從股市不斷賺到錢的人,你會發現他們分析股票是如此的簡單,越是把圖形畫的高深莫測并借助幾十幾百種指標的人往往越難賺到錢。

      不斷學習,不斷補充,其實他自己都不會知道,最終他所學的80%是要丟棄的,但是你必須學,必須有一個可供你挑揀的數據庫,但是你要知道真正對你有用的東西是很少的,找出你喜歡的,你覺得可信的,作深入的研究。如果你把十種兵器都帶在身上上戰場,可能直接被兵器累死,如果你擅長用劍,在戰場上作戰只需帶一把利劍就行了。

                                                     貓否股票網  站長                                             2009.12.10

     
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